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Office of the Director of  National Intelligence

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A PUBLICATION OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL
Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World
MARCH 2021
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INTRODUCTION

  • Foreword
  • Key Themes
  • Executive Summary
  • The COVID Factor: Expanding Uncertainty

STRUCTURAL FORCES

  • Structural Forces: Setting the Parameters
  • Demographics and Human Development
  • Future Global Health Challenges
  • Environment
  • Economics
  • Technology

EMERGING DYNAMICS

  • Emerging Dynamics: Societal, State, and International
  • Societal: Disillusioned, Informed, and Divided
  • State: Tensions, Turbulence, and Transformation
  • International: More Contested, Uncertain, and Conflict Prone
  • The Future of Terrorism: Diverse Actors, Fraying International Efforts

SCENARIOS FOR 2040

  • Scenarios for 2040: Charting the Future Amid Uncertainty
  • Renaissance of Democracies
  • A World Adrift
  • Competitive Coexistence
  • Separate Silos
  • Tragedy and Mobilization

REGIONAL FORECASTS

  • 20-year Projections
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Middle East & North Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
  • South Asia
  • North East Asia
  • South East Asia
  • Oceania

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

  • Acknowledgements
REGIONAL FORECASTS

SOUTH EAST ASIA


(SOUTH EAST ASIA - Click image to enlarge)

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